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Paddock Report,
Friday, July 2
Jim Hurley
 

7 days remain to the Belmont Spring-Summer Meet. Then it’s on to Saratoga for the Biggest 40 Days of the New York racing Year (Thursday, July 15 to Monday, September 6.) 

But as anxious as you might be about the upcoming Saratoga Meet…and the return to “normalcy,” with full crowds, full fields, and race wagering opportunities as they are meant to be, I’m on record now that… 

You Don’t Want To Miss The Final 7 Days
Of The Belmont Spring-Summer Meet
Because Indications Are
… 

THE OPPORTUNITY IS HERE FOR THE CREATION
OF YOUR BIGGEST SARATOGA BANKROLL EVER! 

The long Independence Day Weekend at Belmont Park begins 4 days (through and including racing Monday, July 5) of the kind of Longshot & Overlay Wagering Opportunities that I can’t wait to sink my teeth into. 

And because that is where the money has been, I will be particularly focusing on Turf Racing. 

GRASS LONGSHOT PAYOFFS THE NORM RTHER THAN THE EXCEPTION 

Talk about July 4th fireworks, if you been paying attention to racing at Belmont recently, then I don’t have to tell you that the payoffs in grass racing has been a regular exploding lightshow on the tote board. And my clients and I have been celebrating with our share of winning. 

Last week at Belmont (Thursday, 6/24 – Sunday, 6/27) there were 21 turf races at Belmont. In those 21 races there were only 5 favorites that won. That is a paltry 23.8% compared to an overall percentage of winning favorites at the meet for all races of 37%. 

But that only begins to tell the story. Even including those 5 winning favorites last week, the average winning payoff or all 21 horses was $21.20 compared to the average overall average winning payout for the meet of $11.04. 

There is no mystery as to why these grass races provide such hefty returns. 

One: The fields are usually fuller than the dirt races.
Two: Within those fuller fields, contention runs deeper.
Three: Horses are often moving from dirt to turf so breeding and past performance on the surface becomes a must-have knowledge.
Four: The trips horses get in these races can reveal many more hidden signs that a horse was compromised or on the other hand got a very favorable trip in previous races. How that impacts the present race is crucial, and I have a Network of Trip Handicappers unequaled in the business 

I could list a dozen more reasons, but I believe you get the point. 

LET’S TAKE A LOOK AT TWO OF THE 5 TURF HORSES THAT WON FOR US LAST WEEK 

Saturday, June 26 – Race 5 – CONTAINED – Win $35.80 

This winner was more than just paying attention to Belmont. It was a product of my nationwide Network of on-site handicappers. 

Earlier in the week I had gotten word on a sharp 3 year old filly by BC Cup winner Flintshire, about to go to the grass in a Delaware allowance race following a MSW win on dirt in her prior (a race that had originally been scheduled for the turf.) I included her in my selections or the day but the race was washed off the turf and trainer Jorge Duarte, a conditioner known on the mid-Atlantic circuit but not necessarily notable in New York scratched her, and confident in her abilities decided to send her north to Belmont to face entry level Allowance/Optional $62.5K claimers in a 7 furlong grass test. 

Although a small time trainer on the big circuit, Duarte was also able to draw the services of leading national turf rider Julian Leparoux. 

Friday, June 25 – Race 4 – SUBSIDIZE – Win $21.60 

It isn’t often that you get a $21.60 winner on the turf that is trained by Chad Brown, but one can “almost” forgive the public for giving up on this Churchill Downs shipper after her last races, 4th, 8th and 8th…with the most recent being her turf debut. 

But here is the thing about Brown, if one of his runners goes bad he backs off completely and gives them time. With this daughter of Into Mischief, he gave her two weeks after her May 7 failure (last race) but was back on the track in the morning working every 5 to 7 days religiously and a close look at the last race, her turf debut at this same level, showed significant traffic troubles, and though 8th was only beaten 6 lengths total. Add in 26-28% success rates with the lengths of layoff, turf races in general and shippers, plus the services of Manny Franco, with whom the trainer has been successful at 36% for the meet…well, you can begin to see where the hard work pays off. 

In Addition: I keyed Subsidize in the Exacta with 3 runners, to which, Time To Testify and Vodka Lemonade completed an $86.50 Exacta and $539.00 Trifecta. 

BIG WEEKEND STARTS FRIDAY WITH 3 BELMONT TURF PLAYS 

I’ve tried to give you an idea of the how’s and whys of these generous turf payoffs at Belmont Park…but the best way to show you is to deliver. 

On Friday I have a trio of Grass Races (not a favorite in sight) that will not only send you away with profit, but set you up or 4 days of Independence Day racing that will convince you that these final days at Belmont Park are ones you should be involved in…through Monday, July 5th this weekend and then Friday, July 9 to Sunday, July 11 next week before Saratoga begins on Thursday, July 15th

Belmont Fireworks – Hurley Money Making Trio To Blow Up Tote 

OVERLOOKED TURF TRIO AT BELMONT SET
FOR HUGE BANKROLL BUILDER HOLIDAY SCORE
PLAY STRAIGHT & PARLAYS – HUNDREDS FOR $2 ONLY $12 

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